SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
35% ( -0.88) | 24.78% ( -0.05) | 40.22% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( 0.13) | 44.82% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.12) | 67.18% ( -0.12) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.44) | 24.99% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( -0.61) | 59.64% ( 0.62) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.52) | 22.23% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( 0.78) | 55.66% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
