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Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brighton Women

Green (33' og.)
Mayling (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
Kullberg (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 21 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 3-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Brighton have struggled to perform on their travels this season, losing four of their five WSL away games, and we think that they will be edged out by an Aston Villa side who have won two of their previous three home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
42.71% (-0.103 -0.1) 22.82% (0.126 0.13) 34.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.47% (-0.479 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.54% (-0.628 -0.63)35.46% (0.63 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.5% (-0.698 -0.7)57.5% (0.7 0.7)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.292 -0.29)17.2% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.521 -0.52)47.48% (0.523 0.52)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.298 -0.3)20.93% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (-0.471 -0.47)53.67% (0.473 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 42.71%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 34.47%
    Draw 22.82%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 34.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City Women 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 21 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs Ladies
Saturday, January 14 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Arsenal Women
Sunday, December 11 at 4.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 5-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Reading Women
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 3-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 3-3 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 4-5 Brighton Women
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-8 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 23 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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