Bristol Rovers have already fallen a spot in the league standings in recent weeks, but they will be confident here as they return to their home patch, where they are carrying a six-match unbeaten streak. While the visitors have shown signs of life in recent weeks, we feel that The Pirates will edge this one by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.06) 
