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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
NT

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Northampton

Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton Town

Bristol Rovers have fallen below their owners' expectations so far this term, but with interim boss Mangan at the helm, the Gas have a good chance of returning to winning ways this weekend. Northampton are continuing to rely on Hoskins to get them out of jail, and we believe that the Cobblers will suffer their third defeat in four games on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
45.73% (-0.417 -0.42) 24.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 29.53% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 56.29% (0.296 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.267 0.27)46.53% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.251 0.25)68.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)20.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (-0.113 -0.11)52.86% (0.114 0.11)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.434 0.43)29.27% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.533 0.53)65.22% (-0.532 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 45.73%
    Northampton Town 29.53%
    Draw 24.73%
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.73%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 Wigan
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Chelsea U21s (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 26 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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