Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.81% ( 0.07) | 24.27% ( -0.02) | 32.92% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.04% ( 0.08) | 42.96% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( 0.08) | 65.36% ( -0.08) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% ( 0.06) | 20.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% ( 0.1) | 52.56% ( -0.1) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.68% ( 0.01) | 25.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.9% ( 0.01) | 60.09% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.92% |
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