Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
