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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
County Ground
BR

Swindon
4 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Glatzel (2', 12'), McGregor (30'), Ameen (35')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Hutchinson (28'), McCormick (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers

Swindon are likely to name a strong side and are certainly capable of making this a tricky match for Bristol Rovers, but we believe that the visitors will be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.68% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 31.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.03% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.037000000000006 0.04)66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.030999999999992 0.03)20.29% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (0.044999999999995 0.04)52.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)61.63% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.68%
    Bristol Rovers 31.91%
    Draw 24.41%
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Newport
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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