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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
ST

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Lindsay (52')
Lindsay (46'), Mola (54'), Moore (62'), Omochere (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pierre (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Both teams have faced difficulties during the early stages of the 2024-25 season, but given Bristol Rovers' home advantage and their stronger record in recent meetings, we believe they will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawShrewsbury Town
43.7% (-0.368 -0.37) 26.52% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 29.78% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)75.3% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)24.47% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.227 -0.23)58.92% (0.223 0.22)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (0.27600000000001 0.28)32.84% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (0.308 0.31)69.41% (-0.312 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 43.7%
    Shrewsbury Town 29.78%
    Draw 26.51%
Bristol RoversDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.7%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Stockport
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One


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