Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
