Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
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