SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
45.8% ( 0.14) | 28.97% ( 0.16) | 25.24% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 41.29% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.58% ( -0.64) | 64.42% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.51% ( -0.46) | 83.48% ( 0.46) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.23) | 28.29% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( -0.3) | 64.01% ( 0.3) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.65) | 42.43% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( -0.56) | 78.8% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
| 1-0 @ 15.15% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.11% Total : 25.24% |
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