Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.24) 
