Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
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