Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
-0.24) 
0.05) 
