SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
46.49% ( -0.24) | 24.44% ( 0.05) | 29.06% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.11) | 45.52% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.1) | 67.85% ( 0.1) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.15) | 19.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( -0.24) | 51.68% ( 0.24) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.08) | 29.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.1) | 65% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.06% |
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