SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Burundi win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Senegal |
11.68% ( -0.1) | 16.56% ( -0.06) | 71.77% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.26% ( 0.01) | 34.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.3% ( 0.01) | 56.69% ( -0.01) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.16% ( -0.15) | 40.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.59% ( -0.14) | 77.41% ( 0.13) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.5% ( 0.04) | 8.5% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.55% ( 0.09) | 29.45% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Senegal |
| 2-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 11.68% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.56% | 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.76% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.06% 1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 71.76% |
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