SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Botswana |
29.34% ( 0.04) | 26.06% ( 0) | 44.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0.01) | 52.22% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.01) | 73.93% ( -0) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 0.04) | 32.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 0.04) | 68.84% ( -0.04) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -0.02) | 23.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( -0.03) | 57.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.34% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.6% |
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