SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Madagascar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Burundi |
49.13% ( -0.03) | 26.46% ( 0.02) | 24.4% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% ( -0.06) | 56.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( -0.05) | 77.69% ( 0.05) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.04) | 23.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -0.06) | 57.04% ( 0.07) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( -0.02) | 38.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( -0.02) | 75.56% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Madagascar | Draw | Burundi |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.4% |
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