Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bordeaux in this match.
0.01) 
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