Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Caen had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-1.4) 
0.51) 
