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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
S

Cagliari
4 - 2
Salernitana

Lapadula (12'), Gaetano (40'), Shomurodov (51', 76')
Augello (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kastanos (56'), Maggiore (58')
Kastanos (73'), Sambia (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Salernitana

Games between these teams in Serie A produce goals, and Saturday's should be no different, with Cagliari likely to eke out a marginal victory over bottom Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSalernitana
57.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 23.9% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.57% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (0.221 0.22)53.18% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.189 0.19)74.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.3% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.086000000000006 0.09)49.37% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2% (0.256 0.26)42.8% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.216 0.22)79.12% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 57.52%
    Salernitana 18.57%
    Draw 23.89%
CagliariDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Torino
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, February 4 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Roma
Monday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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