Two teams equally desperate for the points should be expected to go all-out for victory, which could result in plenty of thrills for the neutral.
A change in the dugout may help Cagliari turn around their dire form, but Salernitana only need a draw to keep their noses in front so may settle for a point in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.