While a draw will not surprise, the new-manager bounce and home advantage could see Salernitana edge Cagliari at the Arechi on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.