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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
OU

Cambridge
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Lankester (15'), Ahadme (28')
Brophy (10'), Lankester (43'), Janneh (44'), Kachunga (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodrigues (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Oxford United

With Cambridge losing 10 players, there has been significant turnover within the squad, so it could take a few weeks for Bonner's side to gel. Oxford look good enough, on paper, to put up a promotion challenge this season, so we think they will start off strongly here with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
35.12% (-2.249 -2.25) 27.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 37.46% (2.232 2.23)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)56.09% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (-0.061 -0.06)77.16% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (-1.421 -1.42)30.34% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (-1.727 -1.73)66.53% (1.729 1.73)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (1.332 1.33)28.91% (-1.33 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (1.623 1.62)64.78% (-1.62 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 35.12%
    Oxford United 37.45%
    Draw 27.42%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.295 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.5 0.5)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.301 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Cambridge
Friday, July 7 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Forest Green
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 4-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Swansea
Friday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Accrington
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One


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