SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Willem II |
35.14% ( -1.06) | 24.65% ( -0.06) | 40.21% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( 0.12) | 44.2% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( 0.12) | 66.58% ( -0.12) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.54) | 24.62% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( -0.75) | 59.13% ( 0.75) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( 0.6) | 21.97% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( 0.91) | 55.26% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.21% |
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