SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
30.3% ( -0.34) | 25.09% ( 0.13) | 44.61% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.71) | 47.71% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.66) | 69.9% ( 0.66) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.59) | 29.34% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( -0.72) | 65.31% ( 0.72) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.2) | 21.4% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.6% ( -0.31) | 54.4% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.61% |
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