Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 0-1 (4.02%).
-0.23) 
0.18) 
