Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 0-1 (4.02%).

Result
Willem II	Draw	VVV-Venlo
68.26% ( -0.23)	18.67% ( 0.18)	13.07% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.77% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.76)

41.27% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

-0.77)

63.67% (

0.77)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93% (

-0.27)

11.07% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.57% (

-0.6)

35.43% (

0.59)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.08% (

-0.42)

42.92% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.78% (

-0.36)

79.22% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Willem II 68.25%

VVV-Venlo 13.07%

Draw 18.67%

Willem II	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.95% Total : 68.25%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 18.67%	0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.07%