Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Willem II in this match.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
