SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.34%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.28%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cameroon | Draw | Kenya |
61.96% ( -0.08) | 24.6% ( 0.02) | 13.44% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 35.39% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.23% ( 0.03) | 62.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.7% ( 0.02) | 82.29% ( -0.02) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( -0.02) | 20.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( -0.03) | 52.67% ( 0.03) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.41% ( 0.12) | 55.58% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.77% ( 0.07) | 88.23% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cameroon | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 17.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.34% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 61.95% | 0-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.44% |
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