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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
SL

Cardiff
2 - 1
Southampton

Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Southampton

With the pressure off Cardiff, we expect the Bluebirds to throw caution to the wind in search of maximum points. Nevertheless, Southampton could still edge this contest, aware that they can ill-afford any dropped points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
22.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.67% (0.0019999999999989 0) 54.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.71% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 22.46%
    Southampton 54.87%
    Draw 22.66%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Coventry
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Southampton
Monday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship


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