SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
46.68% ( -0.48) | 25.23% ( 0.09) | 28.09% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( -0.16) | 49.48% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( -0.15) | 71.52% ( 0.15) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( -0.28) | 21.21% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% ( -0.43) | 54.11% ( 0.43) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( 0.21) | 31.84% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( 0.24) | 68.27% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.09% |
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