SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%).
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
46.13% ( 1.38) | 24.18% ( -0.25) | 29.68% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( 0.55) | 43.99% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( 0.53) | 66.37% ( -0.54) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.81) | 19.22% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( 1.32) | 50.92% ( -1.32) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.48) | 27.88% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( -0.62) | 63.49% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.68% |
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