SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
50.27% ( 0.51) | 26.24% ( -0.15) | 23.48% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( 0.25) | 56.66% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( 0.2) | 77.62% ( -0.2) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 0.33) | 22.62% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( 0.49) | 56.23% ( -0.49) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.2) | 39.64% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.68% ( -0.18) | 76.32% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.48% |
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