SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barnsley |
18.98% ( 1.03) | 21.81% ( 1.2) | 59.21% ( -2.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( -3.78) | 44.03% ( 3.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( -3.79) | 66.41% ( 3.79) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% ( -1.11) | 37% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.21% ( -1.11) | 73.79% ( 1.11) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -1.88) | 14.51% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.48% ( -3.76) | 42.52% ( 3.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.53% Total : 18.98% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.69) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.98) 0-2 @ 10% ( 0.29)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 6.4% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.33)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.46)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.28)0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.23)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.21% |
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