SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
48.71% ( -0.01) | 24.44% ( 0.03) | 26.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.18) | 46.95% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.17) | 69.2% ( 0.16) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.07) | 19.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0.12) | 51.1% ( 0.12) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.12) | 31.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( -0.13) | 67.84% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.84% |
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