SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
60.65% ( -0.05) | 20.44% ( 0.01) | 18.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.02) | 37.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( 0.02) | 60.13% ( -0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.88% ( -0.01) | 12.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.31% ( -0.01) | 37.68% ( 0.01) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.05) | 33.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( 0.06) | 70.09% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 60.65% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 18.9% |
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