SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
29.26% ( 5.29) | 23.57% ( 1.34) | 47.16% ( -6.62) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( -1.86) | 41.43% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( -1.91) | 63.83% ( 1.91) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( 2.92) | 26.88% ( -2.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( 3.68) | 62.19% ( -3.68) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.2% ( -3.05) | 17.8% ( 3.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.48% ( -5.55) | 48.52% ( 5.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.96) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.97)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.63)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.51)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.27)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.92)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.83)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -1.04)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.65)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.69)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.16% |
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