SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 75.82%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 8.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.49%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Cliftonville |
8.7% ( 0.03) | 15.49% ( 0.03) | 75.82% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% ( -0.06) | 39.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0.07) | 61.38% ( 0.06) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.42% ( 0.02) | 49.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.64% ( 0.02) | 84.36% ( -0.02) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.35% ( -0.03) | 8.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.18% ( -0.07) | 29.82% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 8.7% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.49% | 0-2 @ 12.84% 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 10.48% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.35% ( -0)0-4 @ 6.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 75.81% |
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