SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
21.36% ( 0.84) | 25.39% ( 0.26) | 53.25% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( -0.09) | 55.5% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( -0.07) | 76.68% ( 0.07) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( 0.84) | 41.09% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( 0.73) | 77.63% ( -0.73) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.48) | 20.87% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( -0.76) | 53.56% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.28)1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.24% |
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