Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 7.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
80.1% (![]() | 12.48% (![]() | 7.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.8% (![]() | 28.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.01% (![]() | 48.99% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.57% (![]() | 5.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.75% (![]() | 21.25% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.38% (![]() | 44.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.38% (![]() | 80.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 10.28% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.98% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 4.91% Total : 80.09% | 1-1 @ 5.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.42% ( ![]() Other @ 1.02% Total : 12.48% | 1-2 @ 2.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 7.42% |
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