SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
57.17% ( -0.08) | 24.62% ( -0.01) | 18.21% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( 0.16) | 56.26% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( 0.13) | 77.3% ( -0.13) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( 0.03) | 19.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( 0.05) | 51.54% ( -0.04) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.21) | 45.04% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( 0.17) | 80.97% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.17% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.21% |
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