Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
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