SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Falkirk win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Falkirk |
79.09% ( -1.46) | 13.37% ( 0.91) | 7.54% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.37% ( -2.56) | 32.63% ( 2.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.7% ( -3.02) | 54.29% ( 3.02) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.49% ( -0.8) | 6.51% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.7% ( -2.22) | 24.3% ( 2.22) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.25% ( -0.52) | 47.75% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.95% ( -0.39) | 83.05% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.54) 3-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.77)3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.33)5-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.38)5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.15)6-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.27)6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.61% Total : 79.08% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.41)Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.37% | 1-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.92% Total : 7.54% |
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