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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | RB Leipzig |
61.66% ( 0.34) | 19.85% ( -0.07) | 18.5% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.08) | 35.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.21% ( -0.09) | 57.8% ( 0.1) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( 0.07) | 11.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.3% ( 0.14) | 35.7% ( -0.13) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.32) | 32.61% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.36) | 69.15% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 18.5% |
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