Leipzig have conceded just two goals in four Bundesliga matches so far this season - and both of those came in the course of beating champions Bayer Leverkusen - while Juventus have shipped only one overall.
Naturally, it could be a close-fought contest, with one moment of magic enough to make the difference between two well-matched teams. A more potent attack should ensure that the hosts take maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.35) 
