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Champions League | League Stage
Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
LL

Atletico
vs.
RB Leipzig

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Atletico Madrid 3-1 RB Leipzig

Atletico have not lost at home to a German club in the 21st century, and enter the fixture high on confidence after another big win at the weekend over Valencia. Both sides are very strong in attack, with Antoine Griezmann and Alvarez facing up against Xavi Simons, Lois Openda and Benjamin Sesko, but home advantage and the Simeone effect could give Atletico the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRB Leipzig
48.88% (-2.69 -2.69) 22.99% (0.326 0.33) 28.12% (2.363 2.36)
Both teams to score 61.34% (1.009 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (0.387 0.39)39.44% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (0.403 0.4)61.78% (-0.405 -0.41)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.812 -0.81)16.39% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (-1.489 -1.49)46.03% (1.487 1.49)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (1.901 1.9)26.63% (-1.902 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (2.448 2.45)61.87% (-2.449 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 48.88%
    RB Leipzig 28.12%
    Draw 22.99%
Atletico MadridDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.544 -0.54)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.206 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.41 0.41)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.201 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.33 0.33)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.229 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.156 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Girona
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Atletico
Monday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, August 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RWE 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 PSG
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, August 4 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 3


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