SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
31.02% ( -0.02) | 23.45% ( -0.01) | 45.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.64% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.05) | 39.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( 0.04) | 62.23% ( -0.05) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( 0.02) | 59.63% ( -0.02) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( 0.03) | 17.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( 0.05) | 48.58% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 45.53% |
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