SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Liverpool |
32.32% ( -0.39) | 24.91% ( 0.03) | 42.77% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( -0.27) | 46.13% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( -0.26) | 68.43% ( 0.27) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.38) | 27.22% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.49) | 62.64% ( 0.5) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 0.05) | 21.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( 0.08) | 54.67% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 32.32% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.77% |
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