SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
53.44% ( -1.7) | 21.16% ( 0.41) | 25.4% ( 1.29) |
| Both teams to score 65.51% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.69) | 32.87% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.8) | 54.58% ( 0.81) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0.71) | 12.56% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.38% ( -1.5) | 38.62% ( 1.51) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 0.55) | 25.08% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( 0.76) | 59.77% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.4% |
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