SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.88%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central African Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Lesotho |
73.01% ( 0.83) | 18.57% ( -0.24) | 8.41% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 35.22% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% ( -0.72) | 53.23% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% ( -0.62) | 74.79% ( 0.62) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( 0.03) | 13.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.05% ( 0.05) | 39.95% ( -0.05) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.59% ( -1.78) | 59.41% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.65% ( -0.96) | 90.35% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Lesotho |
| 2-0 @ 16.07% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 15.88% ( 0.46)3-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 73% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.57% | 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.11% Total : 8.41% |
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