Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 61.58%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 19.81% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
61.58% ( -0.49)	18.61% ( 0.17)	19.81% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 67.27% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.64% (

-0.36)

27.36% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.06% (

-0.45)

47.94% (

0.45)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

-0.2)

8.77% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.88% (

-0.51)

30.12% (

0.51)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

0.06)

26.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63% (

0.07)

61.37% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 61.58%

Adelaide United 19.81%

Draw 18.61%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.64% Total : 61.58%	1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.61%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 19.81%